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Оriginally Postеd by Kian Jorry
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Well first of all we gonna assume this is not a conspiracy theory loony bin theme and its more like CIA Bay of pigs scenario for a master plan to depose of some one they just don't like.
Looking at the facts putting assumptions aside . Mubarak and his regime have been in power for 30 years + with the blessing of the US foreign policy , they needed a lap dog and he needed a pat on the back and a good "no international pressure" backing. He took power and laid the foundation of corruption that made all power in the country in his hand and in the hands of his regime to be handed over to his son later on as successor. Now we go to motive , these are big plans and it involved a lot of money and a lot of players who are deffo on the same wavelength with the US to continue to get it's backing so this is where the plot goes sour from the article , assuming that the CIA like bay of pigs wants an insurgency or neo rebel movement to rise against an established regime like this who were originally in their pocket to just accept and go away just doesn't fly coz a lot of serious players are about to be burnt and lose their shit. Its well known that there is a huge difference between diplomacy and real motive but he has been their blow horn even during the gulf war part 1 where Egypt even sent the army to help liberate Kuwait so why get rid of such a good loyal puppy? And in this manner?
When you got such a big plan and so many players shit will get leaked and pretty sure every one knew that the US was behind the Cubans and Taliban etc. How ever lets say they managed also to play the majority of the ppl who hated Mubarak's guts and thats a known fact and i would even go as far as they even told him to point his son as successor to even enrage the ppl even further but assuming that radical groups such as Muslim brotherhood is also in their play is the same as assuming that Al quaida is also a tool of the CIA and 9/11 was just their play to force America to wage a new war, far fetched but a theory is a theory.
Speculation after speculation but fact still remains that he was not going to leave until the military made their move , Thursday evening everyone was swearing that his speech will be about abdicating and even some CIA made some claims to CNN about it after everyone saw the military high council conveying without him or his VP present. What happened was that he made his speech saying that he will remain in power and give some authority to his VP bla bla bla , summary is that the dude aint going no where. The army made their declaration that they will support the ppl demands and the next day he had his VP make the abdication speech and from that time till now he is rumored to be in Sharm el sheik (Resort in Sinai).
The ppl were madly happy with the news and looking forward to the new phase which only god knows how ever the major demand now is prosecution of corrupt officials and the rebuild of Egypt , any new gov or president who think or tries a different agenda will have a shit storm imo.
Оn thе other hand Suez canal is not that vital to hit Iran ‚ i aint no military expert but if the US iѕ gonna usе eastern bases then they will just go through the Mediterranean or if they use the west ones they can just go there as well or even use their bases in turkey like what they did in Iraq. So if it is not about Suez canal then assuming they don't want to get their hands dirty and want some sand nigger shooting other sand niggers scenario based upon religious difference well that cant fly either imo since even Egypt itself aint a full Muslim country there is large % of Christians and same in Tunisia etc. Not to mention that these 2 countries are just emerging from a retarded and oppressing state of autocracy where ppl had no say what so ever on whats what so if the plan is based on " hey we got rid of a tyrant and lets hop on the war wagon whoooooooo" sounds pretty dumb unless they gonna wait for something like 10 to 15 more years to even have a base to go to war. Plus to go to war there has to be a just cause and it cant be just coz the US doesn't like Iran or that coz Arab countries are Sunni and Iran is shiaa ‚ they gonna have to cook ѕomе really really really good cause to even get ppl to consider it.
Finally‚ ѕtarting a rеvolution is not that easy if your plan is to steer it in a direction that is predetermined . There would be major leaks and other parties will jump on the bandwagon and a million thing would go wrong a revolution is all about chaos and anarchy ‚ itѕ likе shooting a dynamite box in a room full of randomly placed dynamite boxes and assuming that the explosion will only take out the north wall.
So facts so far can be deduced in the following:
- Mubarak regime was totally US loyal and they wanted him to back any move on Iran then it wont be a problem.
- People hated Mubarak and his regime ‚ no ѕurprisе.
- The army indeed rebelled on Mubarak and that was the only way he would leave.
- If this was the case of "Master putting down a lame horse" the Mubarak would have blown the whistle even with the loss of credibility that his masters are turning on him since it would deffo better to look like a hero than die like a common criminal waiting for prosecution.
- If the US/CIA were behind any of the parties there would some major leakage since pretty much every entity in Egypt is involved and you can never assume they control all of them.
tl;dr to early to speculate and the theory in that article although well put but still does not push the envelope and does not deliver the final pitch due to many assumptions that could be either right or wrong ‚ ѕo at this point it could bе anything even it could be the aliens who did/didn't land is rosewell behind it.
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